New This Week: A More Dynamic Daily Compass Dashboard
We are excited to share that the Savior Market Conviction Compass™ dashboard now includes a more dynamic daily market snapshot,
automated news context, and a fresh Savior’s Take designed to help readers understand what may be supporting or pressuring markets.
For more frequent updates between full weekly Insights, visit the dashboard:
Savior Market Conviction Compass Dashboard.
Current Compass Reading
58.7/100 — Neutral / Hold
Updated: June 20, 2026
The current reading reflects a mixed market backdrop, with support from some credit and volatility conditions offset by weaker breadth, sentiment, leverage, and valuation pressure.
The detailed Compass interpretation follows below, including key news highlights, asset-class movement, strongest and weakest dashboard areas, and selected public indicator readings.
Key News Highlights We Are Watching
This week's news mix reflects several forces that matter for investors: Fed communication, AI and private-market valuation, geopolitical risk, asset-class movement, and planning decisions around taxes, retirement, and long-term wealth.
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SpaceX IPO Sends SPCX Stock Soaring 67% as Fed's Warsh Signals Hawkish Shift on Interest Rates – Intellectia AI (Google News)
This story is useful because it highlights how quickly private-market growth expectations can translate into public-market valuation debates. The investment question is not whether the company is impressive, but how much future success is already priced in. -
Fed holds US interest rates steady as uncertainty over Trump's Iran deal remains – BBC (Google News)
This matters because rate expectations, Fed communication, and Treasury yields continue to influence valuation support, risk appetite, and market leadership. -
Dow Jones Futures: Iran Closes Strait Of Hormuz; Nvidia Near Buy Point, Watch For This SpaceX Move (Yahoo Finance Top Stories)
This story is useful because it highlights how quickly private-market growth expectations can translate into public-market valuation debates. The investment question is not whether the company is impressive, but how much future success is already priced in. -
SpaceX Joins Nvidia, Alphabet, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Taiwan Semiconductor in the $2 Trillion Club. But Will It Last? – The Motley Fool (Google News)
This story is useful because it highlights how quickly private-market growth expectations can translate into public-market valuation debates. The investment question is not whether the company is impressive, but how much future success is already priced in. -
Iran reportedly closes Strait of Hormuz again, casting shadow over nuclear talks (CNBC Markets)
This story is worth watching because it may influence investor sentiment, risk appetite, or planning decisions during the week. -
Fed holds rates steady as new Chair Kevin Warsh commits to price stability – U.S. Bank (Google News)
This is relevant for planning because tax, retirement, estate, and income decisions often matter as much as portfolio performance over a full financial life.
Major Asset Class Snapshot
The table below provides context for the weekly Compass read. The Compass is not based on price alone, but asset-class behavior helps show how investors are reacting across equities, bonds, commodities, and the dollar.
| Asset Class | Latest | Prior Day | Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 SPY |
746.74 2026-06-18 |
+1.04% | +1.48% |
| Nasdaq 100 QQQ |
740.62 2026-06-18 |
+2.51% | +3.28% |
| Russell 2000 IWM |
295.59 2026-06-18 |
+1.97% | +2.03% |
| U.S. Mid Cap SCHM |
36.09 2026-06-18 |
+1.55% | +1.29% |
| Emerging Markets EEM |
70.79 2026-06-18 |
+3.25% | +5.42% |
| Long-Term Treasuries TLT |
86.75 2026-06-18 |
+0.49% | +0.90% |
| Gold GLD |
387.12 2026-06-18 |
-0.38% | +0.21% |
| Silver SLV |
59.51 2026-06-18 |
-1.81% | -2.15% |
| WTI Crude Oil CL=F |
76.54 2026-06-19 |
-0.08% | -9.83% |
| U.S. Dollar Index DX-Y.NYB |
100.85 2026-06-19 |
-0.00% | +1.10% |
Savior’s Take
The weekly Compass reading remains neutral, which means the market is not flashing a broad stress signal, but it is also not offering a clean all-clear. Major equity indexes generally leaned positive during the week, which helped support the surface-level market backdrop. Long-duration bonds were firmer, suggesting some relief in rates or demand for duration. Commodity-sensitive areas were weaker, which may reflect easing inflation pressure, shifting growth expectations, or technical pressure. This week's news backdrop ? This week's news mix reflects several forces that matter for investors: Fed communication, AI and private-market valuation, geopolitical risk, asset-class movement, and planning decisions around taxes, retirement, and long-term wealth. ? matters because headlines can move sentiment quickly, but the Compass is designed to separate short-term news reaction from broader market quality. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. It is a disciplined framework for understanding what is supporting markets, what is pressuring markets, and where risk/reward may be shifting.
For More Frequent Updates
The full weekly Insight gives the broader interpretation. The dashboard provides more frequent updates and a daily view of the market snapshot,
news context, and current Compass reading:
visit the Compass Dashboard.
The Savior Market Conviction Compass™ currently reads 58.7/100, signaling a Neutral / Hold posture.
The dashboard highlights changing market internals across breadth, trend, credit, liquidity, leverage, sentiment, and valuation.
Rules-Based Market Conviction Framework
Tracking breadth, trend, credit, liquidity, leverage, sentiment, and valuation.
1. What Changed
The Compass currently reads 58.7/100, compared with the last published reading of 64.1/100.
The Compass deteriorated meaningfully versus the last published reading, signaling a weaker risk/reward setup.
The improvement reflects better surface support from credit and trend conditions, while the caution reflects weaker breadth,
negative new-high/new-low readings, elevated valuation, and market extension above long-term trend.
In plain English: the market looks healthier in some areas than it did at the prior reading, but the rally still deserves discipline
because several internal and structural risks remain.
2. Highlights of the Week
No weekly highlight briefing was generated for this run.
3. What to Watch Next Week
No next-week watch briefing was generated for this run.
4. What Improved
- Credit & Funding is one of the stronger areas today at 86.8/100. Credit and funding conditions help show whether market weakness is becoming systemic or remains contained.
- Volatility / Dealer / Options is one of the stronger areas today at 83.3/100. Volatility and options positioning help show whether investors are complacent, hedged, or vulnerable to fast moves.
- Price Trend & Technicals is one of the stronger areas today at 71.2/100. Trend data shows whether price action is confirming or challenging the broader market story.
5. What Deteriorated or Still Deserves Caution
- Valuation / Fundamentals is one of the weaker areas today at 9.3/100. Valuation shows how much future success is already priced into the market.
- Leverage / Fragility is one of the weaker areas today at 33.5/100. Leverage can amplify market moves when volatility or credit stress appears.
- Sentiment & Hedging is one of the weaker areas today at 35.6/100. Sentiment and hedging data help show whether investors are fearful, complacent, or positioned too aggressively.
6. Early-Warning Flags
The following public-facing caution flags are currently active. These are not predictions; they are reminders that risk/reward can shift before headlines fully reflect it.
- SPX extended above 250DMA
- New highs minus new lows negative
- Buffett Indicator extremely elevated
- CAPE extremely elevated
Strongest Areas of the Dashboard
| Dashboard Area | What It Means |
|---|---|
| Credit & Funding | Supportive. Credit and funding conditions are not yet confirming a broad stress event. |
| Volatility / Dealer / Options | Calm on the surface. Volatility remains contained, though that can change quickly when positioning is crowded. |
| Price Trend & Technicals | Mixed. Trend remains positive, but parts of the market look extended. |
Weakest Areas of the Dashboard
| Dashboard Area | What It Means |
|---|---|
| Valuation / Fundamentals | Pressure point. Long-term valuation leaves less room for disappointment. |
| Leverage / Fragility | Pressure point. Elevated leverage can amplify downside if volatility or credit stress appears. |
| Sentiment & Hedging | Mixed. Sentiment and positioning argue against complacency. |
| Breadth & Structure | Fragile. Participation beneath the surface is not as strong as the headline indexes suggest. |
Key Public Indicator Readings
These selected readings help explain the current market setup. The public version shows directional context and interpretation, not the full proprietary scoring methodology.
| Indicator | Latest Reading | What It Is | What This Reading Means |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPX % Above 50DMA | 56.2 | The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 50-day moving average. | A reading of 56.2% means just over half of S&P 500 components are in a short-term positive trend. Higher readings usually suggest healthier participation beneath the headline index. Lower readings suggest the rally is being carried by fewer stocks. |
| SPX % Above 200DMA | 61.0 | The percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 200-day moving average. | A reading of 61.0% means roughly six out of ten S&P 500 stocks remain above their long-term trend line. That is not a collapse, but it is not the kind of broad participation typically seen in the strongest risk-on markets. |
| NDX % Above 50DMA | 52.4752 | The percentage of Nasdaq-100 stocks trading above their 50-day moving average. | A reading of 52.5% means Nasdaq-100 participation is only modestly positive. For a technology-led market, stronger readings would give more confidence that leadership is broad rather than concentrated. |
| NYSE A/D Trend Score | 52.505 | A breadth proxy showing whether more stocks are advancing than declining. | A reading of 52.5 suggests advancing participation is only slightly above neutral. That means the market is not showing broad internal strength even if the headline indexes look stable. |
| New Highs – New Lows | -2.0 | The number of stocks making new highs minus the number making new lows. | A reading of -2 means more stocks are making new lows than new highs. That is a warning sign because it shows deterioration beneath the surface even if major indexes remain elevated. |
| SPX Distance to 250DMA % | 11.0672 | How far the S&P 500 is trading above or below its long-term 250-day moving average. | A reading of 11.1% means the S&P 500 is meaningfully above its long-term trend. That confirms positive momentum, but it also means the market is extended and may have less room for disappointment. |
| VIX | 16.4 | The market?s expected volatility level implied by S&P 500 options. | A VIX reading of 16.4 suggests volatility expectations remain relatively contained. That can support markets, but low volatility can also hide complacency if breadth or valuation signals are weakening. |
| High Yield OAS | 2.63 | The extra yield investors demand to own high-yield bonds versus comparable Treasuries. | A high-yield spread of 2.63% is still relatively contained. That means corporate credit is not yet confirming broad financial stress, which is one of the more important supports for the current market backdrop. |
| Investment Grade OAS | 0.74 | The extra yield investors demand to own investment-grade corporate bonds versus comparable Treasuries. | An investment-grade spread of 0.74% remains tight. That suggests higher-quality corporate credit markets are still functioning normally and are not yet sending a major stress signal. |
| Buffett Indicator % | 229.7 | A broad valuation gauge comparing total U.S. stock market value to the size of the economy. | A reading near 229.7% is historically elevated. That does not predict timing, but it means long-term valuation leaves less margin for error if growth, earnings, or rates disappoint. |
| CAPE | 41.57 | A long-term valuation measure comparing stock prices to inflation-adjusted 10-year average earnings. | A CAPE reading of 41.6 is high relative to long-term history. That makes future returns more dependent on strong earnings growth and supportive liquidity, rather than valuation expansion. |
Market Insight of the Week
Valuation rarely tells you when a market will turn, but it can tell you how much future success is already priced in.
Market Tip: Use valuation as a risk/reward tool, not a short-term clock.
“The four most dangerous words in investing are: this time it’s different.”
— Sir John Templeton
How Investors Should Think About This
The goal of the Compass is not prediction. It is disciplined risk awareness.
A higher reading means market conviction has improved. It does not mean risk has disappeared. A lower reading means market conviction has weakened.
It does not mean downside is guaranteed.
The value is in the change: whether participation is broadening or narrowing, whether credit is confirming or rejecting stress,
and whether valuation and leverage leave room for error.
View the live Compass Dashboard here:
https://www.saviorwealth.com/compass-dashboard/
Summary
The Savior Market Conviction Compass™ is a rules-based market conviction framework from Savior Wealth.
The current public reading is 58.7/100, signaling a
Neutral / Hold posture.
The framework reviews breadth, trend, credit and funding conditions, volatility, valuation,
leverage, sentiment, and macro/rates policy signals.
Higher readings indicate stronger conviction toward risk assets. Lower readings indicate reduced conviction
and a greater emphasis on discipline, selectivity, and risk management.
Generated: 2026-06-20
Research Context and Data Sources
The Compass uses a rules-based process that incorporates market data, macro data, valuation data,
credit conditions, volatility, and market internals.
Use the Compass Two Ways
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Important Disclosures
This material is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered individualized
investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or a guarantee of future results.
Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Market indicators are imperfect, may change quickly, and should be evaluated within the context of an investor’s
objectives, time horizon, liquidity needs, risk tolerance, and overall financial plan.
Savior Wealth does not provide tax or legal advice. Please consult your tax, legal, or other professional advisor
regarding your specific circumstances.
Additional disclosures are available here:
https://www.saviorwealth.com/important-disclosures/