Savior Pattern Lab

SPY Pattern Lab Report

S&P 500 / SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust technical, valuation, and concentration snapshot.

Pattern data through 2026-07-31. Valuation context through June 2026. Holdings context through 2026-07-17. Educational research only.

Pattern Score
63.5
Rules-based setup quality.
Watch Priority
65%
How closely to monitor.
Current Read
Leadership / trend continuation watch
Constructive but volume unconfirmed

How to Read This Report

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Market Context

Valuation and Concentration Snapshot

Fundamental / Valuation Context

Metric Current Avg / Ref Read
P/E (TTM) n/a pending source Add once a preferred S&P 500 trailing P/E source is locked.
Forward P/E n/a pending source Add once a preferred S&P 500 forward earnings source is locked.
CAPE / P/E10 41.37 +142% to +144% vs geometric mean Elevated versus long-term valuation references.
Price/Sales 3.74 manual valuation snapshot Elevated relative to most historical market environments.
Buffett Indicator 218.1% Corporate equities / GDP proxy Historically elevated market-cap-to-GDP reading.
dshort valuation range 142% to 207% Geometric valuation methods vs mean/regression Broad valuation dashboard remains historically elevated.

Source: Advisor Perspectives / dshort market valuation updates, June 2026. Valuation references update at a slower cadence than price and Pattern Lab levels.

S&P 500 Concentration

Top 3 holdings 19.9% NVDA, AAPL, and MSFT together represent roughly one-fifth of SPY.
Top 10 holdings 37.5% Large-cap leadership remains highly concentrated.
Information Technology 36.8% Largest sector exposure in SPY.
Top 4 sectors 68.4% Info Tech, Financials, Communication Services, and Consumer Discretionary dominate sector exposure.

Source: State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust top holdings and sector allocation, as of 2026-07-17. Weights are approximate and subject to change.

Top Holdings

Ticker Holding Weight
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation 7.66%
AAPL Apple Inc. 7.65%
MSFT Microsoft Corporation 4.56%
AMZN Amazon.com Inc. 3.78%
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. Class A 3.17%
AVGO Broadcom Inc. 2.74%
GOOG Alphabet Inc. Class C 2.55%
META Meta Platforms Inc. Class A 2.21%
TSLA Tesla Inc. 1.67%
MU Micron Technology Inc. 1.49%

Largest Sector Weights

Information Technology 36.81%
Financials 12.38%
Communication Services 9.89%
Consumer Discretionary 9.28%
Health Care 9.06%
Industrials 8.70%

Savior’s Take

SPY is technically constructive, but not fully confirmed. The setup becomes more interesting if price clears resistance, holds the breakout or retest, and volume improves

What Would Improve or Weaken the Setup?

What would improve: The setup would improve if SPY clears the resistance/breakout area near 751.9, holds the breakout or retest, and volume improves.

What would weaken: The setup would weaken if SPY loses the support/breakdown reference near 733.34, especially if breadth or volume also deteriorates.

How to Read This Report

Pattern Score is a rules-based setup-quality reading. It is not a probability, prediction, or recommendation.

Watch Priority reflects how important the chart is to monitor around support, resistance, breakout, breakdown, and volume confirmation.

Support, resistance, breakout, and breakdown are practical reference levels for monitoring confirmation or failure. They are research aids, not guarantees.

Valuation and concentration help frame the broader market backdrop. These inputs can update at a slower cadence than price and pattern readings.

Important disclosure: Educational commentary only. This material is not investment advice and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Pattern Lab is an internal research tool used to monitor technical patterns, trend structure, support and resistance behavior, breadth, price behavior, and risk context. Any pattern score, measured move, support level, resistance level, or commentary shown is a research aid, not a prediction or guarantee. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.